Typing to Reach You wrote:
I see what you're getting at here, but its just too difficult to say at this stage. I think a lot of people recently have a tendency to talk about Ode as if it's already been released. We've not even heard the album yet, let alone know how its going to be received commercially. It could do worse than 12 Memories, even though I hope it'll do much better.
Give Travis credit though - they're not exactly a failed band. Their albums, save for their debut, have always got into the top 5 (plus the J. Smith EP topped the indie charts), and they get airplay consistently enough.